According to a recent report by the research firm K33, Bitcoin’s familiar 4-year cycle is now a thing of the past. The research and brokerage firm K33 announced that Bitcoin is no longer following its classic 4-year “halving” cycle. According to the firm’s October report, institutional adoption, government involvement, and changes in macro policies have invalidated the old rulebook. K33 Head of Research, Vetle Lunde, declared, “The 4-year cycle is dead, long live the new king!” stating that Bitcoin has entered a fundamentally new era driven by structural forces.
This week, Bitcoin broke its all-time record against the US dollar and the euro. Despite record ETF inflows and high-leverage trading, the market appears structurally sound, according to K33’s “excessive froth” indicators. While Lunde anticipates a short-term correction, he does not foresee a structural decline.
The report highlighted that the rally in 2025 is based on institutional acceptance—a reality now, not a dream—unlike the speculative peaks of 2017 and 2021.
The report emphasized that this reality is supported by BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF holdings exceeding $100 billion, Morgan Stanley’s crypto advice to clients, and favorable regulations in Washington. Lunde commented, “The future is expected to bring ample liquidity and falling interest rates, not restrictive saving. This environment is a clear positive for scarce assets like Bitcoin.”
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