{"id":33306,"date":"2025-11-11T10:40:05","date_gmt":"2025-11-11T10:40:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/?p=33306"},"modified":"2026-01-05T13:29:49","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T13:29:49","slug":"quantum-doomsday-clock-predicts-bitcoins-collapse-by-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/quantum-doomsday-clock-predicts-bitcoins-collapse-by-2028\/","title":{"rendered":"Quantum Doomsday Clock Predicts Bitcoin&#8217;s Collapse by 2028"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>Quantum Apocalypse Clock<\/strong> is an initiative attempting to time the exact moment when <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>, as we know it today, falls to <strong>quantum supremacy<\/strong>, predicting this event will happen in 2 years and 4 months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quantum Apocalypse Clock Says Bitcoin&#8217;s Collapse is Just 2 Years Away<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"508\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/ibm_quantum_computing_lab_image_close_up.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26323\" style=\"width:750px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/ibm_quantum_computing_lab_image_close_up.jpg 508w, https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/ibm_quantum_computing_lab_image_close_up-234x300.jpg 234w, https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/ibm_quantum_computing_lab_image_close_up-150x192.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 508px) 100vw, 508px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Facts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While speculation about the dangers of <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/quantum-computers-unlocking-the-future-of-computing\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"28807\">quantum computing<\/a><\/em><\/strong> for <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/tag\/bitcoin-news-and-content\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"70\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/em><\/strong> has been in the public domain, one initiative has put a date on the <strong>cryptocurrency&#8217;s collapse<\/strong> at the hands of this nascent technology. The <strong>Quantum Apocalypse Clock<\/strong>, a portal created by Richard Carback, founder of the <strong>quantum-resistant<\/strong> xx network, and Colton Dillion, co-founder of Gentlemen Labs, has considered several <strong>variables<\/strong> to estimate when computers will achieve <strong>quantum supremacy<\/strong> over the crypto and break its existing <strong>security model<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The clock currently indicates that this moment could occur in <strong>2028<\/strong>, estimating it could be as soon as <strong>2 years and 4 months<\/strong> from now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To reach this prediction, the clock assumes that this &#8220;break&#8221; will happen when a <strong>quantum computer<\/strong> meets two conditions: reaching the necessary <strong>logical quantum bit sizes<\/strong> for the implementation of algorithms designed to break <strong>Elliptic Curve (ECC)<\/strong> and <strong>RSA cryptography<\/strong>, and doing so under a &#8220;realistic, observed <strong>error rate<\/strong>.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the clock&#8217;s creators concede that this break could happen faster if the current <strong>quantum computing<\/strong> developments shift from reducing the <strong>error rate<\/strong> to increasing <strong>quantum bit growth<\/strong>, adding more <strong>computational power<\/strong> to these machines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why It Matters<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts view <strong>quantum computing<\/strong> as one of the biggest dangers to <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> and <strong>cryptocurrencies<\/strong> because this technology can overturn the security inherent in the <strong>cryptography<\/strong> technology behind them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Developers and organizations have been warning about this and are working on <strong>solutions<\/strong>, such as <strong>Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) 360<\/strong>, designed to protect <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> from the <strong>quantum apocalypse<\/strong>. However, the <strong>quantum threat<\/strong> is currently not considered a <strong>priority<\/strong>, and the implementation of these solutions may take some time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Looking Ahead<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether <strong>quantum<\/strong> breaks <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> in two years or not, the dangers of this disruptive technology to <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> and <strong>cryptocurrency<\/strong> should not be underestimated. The <strong>Quantum Apocalypse Clock<\/strong> serves as a reminder of the impending danger to <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>, similar to <strong>nuclear energy<\/strong>, and the need to prepare for such an event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>What is the Quantum Apocalypse Clock?<\/strong> The <strong>Quantum Apocalypse Clock<\/strong> estimates the time when <strong>quantum computers<\/strong> could compromise <strong>Bitcoin&#8217;s security<\/strong>, currently pointing to <strong>2028<\/strong> as a critical threshold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>What conditions must quantum computers meet to compromise cryptocurrencies?<\/strong> <strong>Quantum supremacy<\/strong> will be achieved when computers reach sufficient <strong>logical quantum bit sizes<\/strong> and break <strong>Elliptic Curve<\/strong> and <strong>RSA cryptography<\/strong> with a realistic <strong>error rate<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Why is quantum computing considered a danger to Bitcoin?<\/strong> Analysts warn that <strong>quantum computing<\/strong> can endanger the <strong>cryptographic security<\/strong> that underpins <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> and other <strong>cryptocurrencies<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>What measures are being taken to protect Bitcoin from potential quantum threats?<\/strong> Developers are working on solutions like <strong>Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) 360<\/strong>, but the urgency of these measures is not currently prioritized, which may delay implementation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">You Might Also Like;<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list wp-block-latest-posts\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/the-channel-wing-vtol-takes-flight\/\">A Century-Old Aviation Dream Reborn: The Channel Wing VTOL Takes Flight<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/the-dawn-of-the-automated-battlefield\/\">The Dawn of the Automated Battlefield: How Ground Robots Are Redefining Warfare<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/the-insatiable-hunger-of-ai\/\">The Insatiable Hunger of AI: Why Tech Giants Are Chasing Natural Gas<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Quantum Apocalypse Clock is an initiative attempting to time the exact moment when Bitcoin, as we know it today, falls to quantum supremacy, predicting this event will happen in 2 years and 4 months. Quantum Apocalypse Clock Says Bitcoin&#8217;s Collapse is Just 2 Years Away The Facts While speculation about the dangers of quantum &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28534,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAown96uCw:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[336,309],"tags":[70,317,342],"class_list":["post-33306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-futurescience","category-web3new","tag-bitcoin-news-and-content","tag-crypto-news","tag-quantum-technology"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33306","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33306"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33306\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28534"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/metaverseplanet.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}